МОДЕЛЬ УПРАВЛЕНИЯ РАЗВИТИЕМ РЕГИОНАЛЬНОГО ПРОДОВОЛЬСТВЕННОГО РЫНКА
System of indicators for the implementation of the roadmap for managing the development of the regional food market of the Republic of Bashkortostan (forecast)
LCM* – low concentrated markets; MCM** - moderately concentrated markets
Criteria | 2020 (fact.) | Valid range | Years (forecast) | |||||
2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | ||||
The value of indicators of food production volumes based on the construction of forecast models for which a decline is predicted | ||||||||
The volume of production of commercial honey, tons | 6076 | - | 6100 | 6120 | 6150 | 6180 | 6200 | |
The volume of production of livestock and poultry meat, thousand tons | 287 |
| 292 | 295 | 298 | 300 | 303 | |
Vegetable production volume, thousand tons | 288 | - | 291 | 293 | 296 | 300 | 304 | |
Sunflower production volume, thousand tons | 313 | - | 317 | 321 | 325 | 327 | 330 | |
Sugar beet production volume, thousand tons | 1290 | - | 1700 | 1750 | 1770 | 1790 | 1800 | |
Grain production volume, thousand tons | 3839 | - | 3850 | 3920 | 3925 | 3950 | 3980 | |
Egg production volume, million pieces | 1029 | - | 1035 | 1050 | 1075 | 1090 | 1120 | |
The value of the indicators integrated into the methodology of economic diagnostics | ||||||||
Clustering of regions by gross collection of raw materials | 1 cluster | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
Determining the rating of regions by an integral indicator | 2 | Above 1 | 2 | 2,1 | 2,2 | 2,3 | 2,4 | |
General characteristics of the RFM's state by its elements | Overall condition is average | Overall condition is above average | Overall condition is average | Overall condition is average | Overall condition is average | Overall condition is average | Overall condition is above average | |
The degree of development of digitalization and FOODNET directions in the region | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | |
The value of specialization coefficients | 1,92 | Above 1 | 2 | 2,1 | 2,2 | 2,3 | 2,5 | |
The value of concentration coefficients | 80 % LCM* and MCM** | 80% LCM | 80 % LCM and MCM | 80 % LCM and MCM | 80 % LCM and MCM | 80 % LCM and MCM | 80% LCM | |
The value of the indicator of food self-sufficiency of the region | 6 | 5-10 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | |
The importance of foreign economic food potential | 0,61 | Above 1 | 1,5 | 1,9 | 2 | 2,5 | 3 | |
Assessment of the probability of risks' occurrence of development of RFM | ||||||||
The probability of risks' occurrence affecting the functioning and development of the RFM | The number of risks with a probability of occurrence of 81%-100% is about 18 % | - | No more than 15 % | No more than 15 % | No more than 13 % | No more than 12 % | No more than 10 % | |