MANAGEMENT MODEL OF THE REGIONAL FOOD MARKET DEVELOPMENT
Table 1 - System of indicators for the implementation of the roadmap for managing the development of the regional food market of the Republic of Bashkortostan (forecast)
Criteria | 2020 (fact.) | Valid range | Years (forecast) | |||||
2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | ||||
The value of indicators of food production volumes based on the construction of forecast models for which a decline is predicted | ||||||||
The volume of production of commercial honey, tons | 6076 | - | 6100 | 6120 | 6150 | 6180 | 6200 | |
The volume of production of livestock and poultry meat, thousand tons | 287 |
| 292 | 295 | 298 | 300 | 303 | |
Vegetable production volume, thousand tons | 288 | - | 291 | 293 | 296 | 300 | 304 | |
Sunflower production volume, thousand tons | 313 | - | 317 | 321 | 325 | 327 | 330 | |
Sugar beet production volume, thousand tons | 1290 | - | 1700 | 1750 | 1770 | 1790 | 1800 | |
Grain production volume, thousand tons | 3839 | - | 3850 | 3920 | 3925 | 3950 | 3980 | |
Egg production volume, million pieces | 1029 | - | 1035 | 1050 | 1075 | 1090 | 1120 | |
The value of the indicators integrated into the methodology of economic diagnostics | ||||||||
Clustering of regions by gross collection of raw materials | 1 cluster | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
Determining the rating of regions by an integral indicator | 2 | Above 1 | 2 | 2,1 | 2,2 | 2,3 | 2,4 | |
General characteristics of the RFM's state by its elements | Overall condition is average | Overall condition is above average | Overall condition is average | Overall condition is average | Overall condition is average | Overall condition is average | Overall condition is above average | |
The degree of development of digitalization and FOODNET directions in the region | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | |
The value of specialization coefficients | 1,92 | Above 1 | 2 | 2,1 | 2,2 | 2,3 | 2,5 | |
The value of concentration coefficients | 80 % LCM* and MCM** | 80% LCM | 80 % LCM and MCM | 80 % LCM and MCM | 80 % LCM and MCM | 80 % LCM and MCM | 80% LCM | |
The value of the indicator of food self-sufficiency of the region | 6 | 5-10 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | |
The importance of foreign economic food potential | 0,61 | Above 1 | 1,5 | 1,9 | 2 | 2,5 | 3 | |
Assessment of the probability of risks' occurrence of development of RFM | ||||||||
The probability of risks' occurrence affecting the functioning and development of the RFM | The number of risks with a probability of occurrence of 81%-100% is about 18 % | - | No more than 15 % | No more than 15 % | No more than 13 % | No more than 12 % | No more than 10 % | |
LCM* – low concentrated markets; MCM** - moderately concentrated markets