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A STUDY OF THE ATMOSPHERIC AIR TEMPERATURE REGIME USING THE AUTOREGRESSION-MOVING AVERAGE MODEL (translation of the original publication in English)
Table 1 - Model evaluation criteria ARIMA(p, d, q)
Model | The Lewing-Box Test | MAPE | R2 | |||
Statistics | Number of degrees of freedom | p -significance level | ||||
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |
ARIMA (1,1,1) | with a constant | 7.77 | 16 | 0.96 | 9.56 | 0.45 |
without a constant | 8.51 | 0.93 | 9.61 | 0.44 | ||
ARIMA (2,1,1) | with a constant | 7.56 | 15 | 0.94 | 9.37 | 0.46 |
without a constant | 7.89 | 0.93 | 9.36 | 0.45 | ||