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THE RISK PREDICTION OF THE FIRST TOE INGROWN NAIL DEVELOPMENT IN POPULATION AT THE OUTPATIENT STAGE

Table 1 - The quality of predicting of the IT of the first toe development according to the assessment scales of doctor-experts

Scale

AUC

SE AUC

R

Split point

Se

Sp

DE 1

0.71

0.047

<0.001

74.0

0.72

0.64

DE 2

0.73

0.046

<0.001

30.5

0.74

0.65

DE 3

0.70

0.051

<0.001

50.0

0.71

0.69

DE 4

0.77

0.050

<0.001

53.0

0.77

0.58

DE 5

0.75

0.047

<0.001

33.5

0.74

0.70

DE 6

0.70

0.049

<0.001

40.5

0.68

0.72

DE 7

0.78

0.046

<0.001

26.5

0.80

0.61

DE 8

0.76

0.054

<0.001

15.5

0.68

0.71

DE 9

0.77

0.048

<0.001

34.5

0.72

0.70

DE 10

0.74

0.051

<0.001

51.5

0.70

0.61

DE 11

0.80

0.052

<0.001

41.5

0.60

0.68

DE 12

0.75

0.048

<0.001

20.5

0.86

0.72

DE 13

0.72

0.054

<0.001

52.5

0.76

0.62

DE 14

0.73

0.048

<0.001

39.5

0.74

0.62

DE 15

0.77

0.047

<0.001

33.5

0.76

0.60

DE 16

0.74

0.049

<0.001

31.5

0.74

0.63

DE 17

0.79

0.050

<0.001

34.0

0.72

0.68

DE 18

0.76

0.056

<0.001

32.5

0.75

0.54

DE – doctor-expert; AUC – area under the ROC-curve graph; SE AUC is the standard error of the AUC estimate; p – the statistical significance of the difference between the AUC and the area under the diagonal (random guessing); Se and Sp – the sensitivity and specificity at the given split point